En teknisk-økonomisk prognosemodel for industriens energiforbrug samt energirelaterede CO₂- SO₂- og NO_x-emissioner. INDUS - version 2. EMIS : INDUS - version 2. EMIS

This report presents an updating and enlargement of the INDUS model described in the report ''A technical-economic model for the industrial energy consumption in Denmark''. Risø National Laboratory, July 1986 (RISØ-M-2606) (in Danish). In short the model is characterized as an econometric sub-model that converts ADAM-forecasts to forecasts for the industrial energy consumption. (ADAM is a macro-economic model used by the Danish Ministry of Finance).

The model is reestimated on data for 1966 to 1985 and using the latest published energy balances, the post-sample properties of the model for 1986 and 1987 are analyzed. Using the same method of modelling as for the industrial branches the model is enlarged to include the primary and construction sectors.

The primary sector is disaggregated into three branches: agriculture etc., horticulture, and fishing. Finally, a sub-model for the calculation of energy related CO_2, SO_2, and NO_x emissions is developed. This model is based on the energy balances of the Danish Statistical Office and technical determined emission coefficients for the individual fuels included in the energy balances. (editor).