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Conference paper

Detection of Dairy Herds at Risk for Changing Salmonella Dublin status

By Stockmarr, Anders1,2; Bødker, Rene3,4; Nielsen, Liza Rosenbaum5

From

Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark1

DTU Data Analysis, Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark2

National Veterinary Institute, Technical University of Denmark3

Section for Epidemiology, National Veterinary Institute, Technical University of Denmark4

University of Copenhagen5

Salmonella Dublin (S. Dublin) is a costly infection for dairy cows, potentially lethal to humans. Surveillance is based on bulk tank milk (BTM) antibody measurements, taken each quarter of the year. Herds are classified as Status 1- likely free of S. Dublin, or Status 2 – likely infected with S. Dublin, based on present /recent characteristics, but not actual S.

Dublin detection. We develop a predictive model based on characteristics from last quarter, using on registry data for 2001-2007 for 9387 herds in Denmark . Only 2004-2007 data modeled due to data contamination.

Language: English
Year: 2012
Proceedings: 24th Nordic Conference in Mathematical Statistics
Types: Conference paper
ORCIDs: Stockmarr, Anders

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