Sammenkobling af makroøkonomiske og teknisk-økonomiske modeller for energisektoren. Hybris

The main objective of the project was to integrate the Danish macro economic model ADAM with elements from the energy simulation model BRUS, developed at Risø. The project has been carried out by Risø National Laboratory with assistance from the Ministry of Finance. A theoretical part focuses on the differences between top-down and bottom-up modelling of the energy-economy interaction.

A combined hybrid model seems a relevant alternative to the two traditional approaches. The hybrid model developed is called Hybris and includes models for: supply of electricity and heat, household demand for electricity, and household demand for heat. These three models interact in a iterative procedure with the macro economic model ADAM through a number of links.

A reference case as well as a number of scenarios illustrating the capabilities of the model has been set up.Hybris is a simulation model which is capable of analyzing combined CO_2 reduction initiatives as regulation of the energy supply system and a CO_2 tax in an integrated and consistent way. (au) 32 tabs., 98 ills., 55 refs..