Book chapter
Future-Oriented LCA
Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark1
Quantitative Sustainability Assessment, Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark2
Technology and Innovation Management, Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark3
Transport DTU, Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark4
LCA is often applied for decision-making that concerns actions reaching near or far into the future. However, traditional life cycle assessment methodology must be adjusted for the prospective and change-oriented purposes, but no standardised way of doing this has emerged yet. In this chapter some challenges are described and some learnings are derived.
Many of the future-oriented LCAs published so far perform relatively short-term prediction of simple comparisons. But for more long-term time horizons foresight methods can be of help. Scenarios established by qualified experts about future technological and economic developments are indispensable in future technology assessments.
The uncertainties in future-oriented LCAs are to a large extent qualitative and it is important to emphasise that LCA of future technologies will provide a set of answers and not ‘the’ answer.
| Language: | English |
|---|---|
| Publisher: | Springer |
| Year: | 2018 |
| Pages: | 499-518 |
| Journal subtitle: | Theory and Practice |
| ISBN: | 3319564749 , 3319564757 , 9783319564746 and 9783319564753 |
| Types: | Book chapter |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-319-56475-3_21 |
| ORCIDs: | Olsen, Stig Irving , Borup, Mads and Andersen, Per Dannemand |
