Optimization of conventional rule curves coupled with hedging rules for reservoir operation

As a common approach to reservoir operating policies, water levels at the end of each time interval should be kept at or above the rule curve. In this study, the policy is captured using rationing of the target yield to reduce the intensity of severe water shortages. For this purpose, a hybrid model is developed to optimize simultaneously both the conventional rule curve and the hedging rule.

In the compound model, a simple genetic algorithm is coupled with a simulation program, including an inner linear programming algorithm. In this way, operational policies are imposed by priority concepts to achieve the optimal water allocation and the target storage levels for reservoirs. As a case study, a multipurpose, multireservoir system in southern Iran is selected.

The results show that the model has good performance in extracting the optimum policy for reservoir operation under both normal and drought conditions.