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Conference paper

Assessment of Transport Infrastructure Projects by the use of Monte Carlo Simulation: The CBA-DK Model

In Proceedings of the 2006 Winter Simulation Conference — 2006, pp. 1537-1544
From

Decision Modelling, Department of Transport, Technical University of Denmark1

Department of Transport, Technical University of Denmark2

This paper presents the Danish CBA-DK software model for assessment of transport infrastructure projects. The as-sessment model is based on both a deterministic calcula-tion following the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) methodol-ogy in a Danish manual from the Ministry of Transport and on a stochastic calculation, where risk analysis (RA) is car-ried out using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS).

After a de-scription of the deterministic and stochastic calculations emphasis is paid to the RA part of CBA-DK with consid-erations about which probability distributions to make use of. Furthermore, a comprehensive assessment of the set of distributions are made. Finally conclusions and a perspec-tive are presented.

Language: English
Publisher: IEEE
Year: 2006
Pages: 1537-1544
Proceedings: Winter Simulation Conference 2006
ISBN: 1424405009 , 9781424405008 , 1424405017 and 9781424405015
Types: Conference paper
DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2006.322924
ORCIDs: Leleur, Steen

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